Trump supporters to rally Saturday in the major swing state that also kicks off the race for the presidential nomination
The 2022 midterm elections will be front and center as former President Trump holds a rally in Iowa on Saturday – his first in the competitive central plains state since last year’s election.
But in a state where the presidential nomination process has begun for half a century, 2024 will also have a lot of intrigue.
Trump’s Iowa rally should stop on the way to the White House
“IOWA is absolutely vital to our efforts to take back the House and Senate in 2022 and then the White House in 2024,” the former president said in an email to supporters earlier this week.
To win a majority in next year’s midterm elections, Republicans need a net gain of one seat to gain control in the 100-member Senate and five in the 435-member House.
The path to a GOP House majority could pass through Hawkeye State, where three of the state’s four representatives are Republicans. Two of them – Reps. Ashley Hinson and Marienette Miller-Meeks – won their seats by razor-thin margins last November and will likely face challenging re-election. And the GOP is targeting the state’s only Democrat in the House, Rep. Cindy Axane, who modestly won re-election last year.
Throw in high-profile reelections for Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds and longtime GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley, and Iowa will spend a lot of time in the campaign spotlight in the coming year until the 2022 midterms.
Trump’s team in Iowa eyes 2022, but his presence intensifies speculation for 2024
“I think it’s a sign that President Trump is going to be heavily involved in 2022,” Iowa GOP Jeff Kaufman told Granthshala News. “It’s about the president’s understanding that Iowa can be the route to a majority in the federal House … I really think you’ll hear him say a lot about 2022.”
Kaufman, as well as Reynolds, Grassley and the rest of the Republican members of the state’s congressional delegation, will speak at a rally at the Iowa State Fairgrounds in Des Moines before the president’s evening address. And some of those GOP politicians may come out in support of Trump at the rally.
Eric Branstad, one of Trump’s top two political advisers in the state, emphasized that the midterm is at the top of his agenda. Branstad, who spearheaded the former president’s campaign efforts in the Hawkeye State in the 2016 and 2020 elections and who is the son of former longtime Gov. Terry Branstad, told Granthshala News that he and the rest of the former president’s team in Iowa “Focused” on electing Republicans up and down the ticket. That’s our focus.”
But this is Iowa.
Asked whether Trump’s visit to support the 2022 Republicans has 2024 implications, Kaufman replied “Are the two connected — certainly they are. We’re in Iowa.”
Trump arrives in Iowa with highest turnout ever in major battlefield and first caucus state
Trump arrived in the Hawkeye State a few days after he earned his best-suited rating in a Des Moines Register poll, which is considered the gold standard in this neck of the woods.
Thirty-three percent of Iovans held a favorable view of the former president and 45% had an unfavorable view, according to a Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll released Monday. And only among Republicans, he was favorably at a high of 91%.
“Donald Trump is going to have an incredible reception in Iowa. He’s very popular with Aadhaar,” said David Kochel, a longtime Iowa-based GOP adviser. “He’ll have a big lead in Iowa if he decides to run.”
Trump repeatedly teases another presidential run to try to return to the White House. “I can’t reveal it yet. But I know my answer full well,” he said in a Granthshala News interview in July, when asked if he would run again. “And we’re going to do great. And people are going to be very happy.”
And he told Granthshala News in an interview last month that “I don’t think we’ll have a choice.”
Trump 2024 flirting doesn’t stop other potential GOP rivals from visiting key starting states
Trump remains very popular and influential with Republican voters as he continues to play the kingmaker in GOP primary politics, and will be clearly ahead of his party’s presidential nomination if he decides to run. But their frequent flirtation has deterred other potential 2024 contenders from visiting Iowa as well as New Hampshire, the first presidential primary for a century, and South Carolina and Nevada, the other two early voting states. are.
Kochel, a veteran of the GOP’s multiple presidential campaigns over the past few decades, highlighted that “there’s a lot of desire by Iowa Republicans to go out and see other potential 2024 candidates. I don’t think anyone is staying away because I Don’t think anyone really knows what the future holds and whether or not Trump ultimately decides to run.
But he added that if Trump follows through on his flirtatiousness and runs, “it’s going to be an uphill battle for someone else.”
Bob Vander Platts, who has served as the president and CEO of The Family Leader, a top social conservative organization, for a dozen years, told Granthshala News that “without question” there was a call for Trump’s rally in Des Moines. 2024 component.
And he said a stay in Iowa could be a sign for other potential 2024 GOP White House candidates and Republican voters.
Vander Platts said that Trump “sees a number of potential 2024 candidates that are already circulating in the state and so this may be a message to him that ‘I haven’t made up my mind yet’ and that it is based on his base.” There might be a message to ‘I’m still here.’”
And the work of the former president a few months before Branstad and fellow Iowa native Alex Latchum, Trump’s Iowa political director during the 2016 general election campaign and a deputy political director at the Trump White House, may be the laying of a marker.
“If he intends to run, there are no two better people to hire than those two guys,” Koechel said. “If you’re going to do it, or even if you’re going to send signals that you can drive, that’s what you do.”
And Vander Platts said hiring Branstad and Latcham “is definitely a message” that if Trump wants to organize in Iowa, he can do it quickly.