- The scientists behind the research have called on the UK to reconsider the current rollout
- Children ages 12 to 15 are being given only once due to concerns about heart side effects
- Experts said the analysis was flawed because it didn’t look only at healthy children.
A controversial study suggests that giving two doses of the COVID vaccine to 12 to 17-year-olds could prevent thousands of people from being hospitalized with the virus this autumn.
The experts behind the research have called on the UK to reconsider its current roll-out, in which youth will only be given a Pfizer jab.
Health officials held back from recommending a full course because of the very rare risk of heart inflammation associated with the second shot.
The study looked at the rate of Covid infection, hospital admission and death among adolescents in the UK in previous waves of the pandemic.
It has been estimated that if COVID cases in secondary schools continue at their current rate, a two-dose dose could prevent 4,430 admissions and 36 deaths among adolescents compared to a single injection.
The team of researchers, led by Queen Mary University, stressed that this benefit ‘clearly’ outweighs the small risk of myocarditis, which affects one in 10,000 and is usually mild.
He claimed that the risks would outweigh the benefits of vaccination only if infection rates in adolescents suddenly dropped to small levels.
While most patients who develop myocarditis after their jab have only a mild bout of the disease, scientists are still uncertain about the long-term consequences of heart inflammation.
Academics today hit back at the ‘questionable’ findings of the study, which failed to differentiate between the risk of COVID for healthy and vulnerable children.
The analysis was carried out by several members of the independent SAGE and is published in the Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine.
The latest study looked at the rates of Covid infection, hospital admission and death among adolescents in the UK in previous waves of the pandemic. It has been estimated that if COVID cases in secondary schools continue at their current rate, a two-dose dose could prevent 4,430 admissions and 36 deaths among adolescents compared to a single injection. The finding was based on the assumption that the Covid case rate among adolescents increases from 1,000 to 100,000 this autumn
The study said the double-dose benefit outweighs the risk of myocarditis, an inflammation of the heart associated with the second injection, in every scenario, as long as the case rate is less than 30 per 100,000 teens per week (shown here). Has gone)
Independent SAGE lobbied the government to pursue a ‘zero covid’ strategy and was one of the leading pro-lockdown groups.
The study’s calculations are based on the assumption that 0.82 percent of Covid-infected children end up hospitalized – the equivalent of one in every 120 youth.
This is 80 times higher than the figure provided by No.10’s Vaccine Advisory Panel, Joint Committee on Immunization and Immunization (JCVI).
Fourteen-year-old Jack Lane today became one of the first to benefit from the expansion of Britain’s jab rollout. He received his vaccinations at Belfair Academy in Leigh-on-Sea, Essex
UK daily Covid cases rise 7% in a week as outbreak continues – but deaths and admissions drop
COVID cases across the UK have increased by seven per cent, the twelfth day in a row that the outbreak has increased week-on-week.
Health department officials posted another 36,722 infections, an increase of 6.6 per cent compared to 34,460 positive tests recorded last Wednesday.
Britain’s infections have risen steadily after schools reopened this month, allowing the virus to spread to young people and to their parents.
Meanwhile, the Covid death toll added 150 more, while 659 infected Britons were hospitalised.
Both figures – which are several weeks behind cases because of how long it can take for infected patients to become seriously ill – are 10 percent lower than last week’s figures.
The latest figures mean an average of 35,204 people tested positive on any given day in the past week.
Nearly 8 million Britons have received a positive laboratory-report or lateral flow result since the start of the pandemic. At the peak of the second wave last winter, around 81,480 people tested positive in a single day.
The vast majority of daily infections were seen in England. Some 29,036 cases were registered, an increase of 6.3 per cent over the previous week’s 27,317 positive tests.
Meanwhile, cases in Scotland fell 16.7 per cent to 2,997 after the country saw the biggest increase in infections since the pandemic began after Scotland returned to classes on 16 August.
Infections in Scotland peaked at 7,523 on 2 September and have been falling steadily since then.
The group originally ruled against routine vaccination for all-12s because it concluded that COVID posed such a small risk to their health.
The group, which included some of the country’s top experts, justified its decision with data that suggested the hospitalization rate was as high as 0.04 percent – or one for every 2,500 infected youth.
Its lower-end estimate, based on data from the UK’s second wave of the outbreak, was just 0.01 per cent – the equivalent of one in every 10,000.
The NHS do not give details of the exact age of coronavirus entry, which means it is impossible to confirm this figure for children aged 12-17.
But healthcare data shows 8,572 children have been admitted with Covid or tested positive in a ward since the start of the pandemic.
This would mean the risk of children being hospitalized with the coronavirus is around 0.15 per cent, England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty told MPs last week, with top government scientists believing that around Half of the children have already been infected.
This calculation is based on an estimate from the National Office of…