- Cases drop in five days among 10 to 15-year-olds, data show
- and infection in children aged five to nine years is less than nine days
- Experts tell MailOnline that rising vaccination rates could lead to a fall
According to a raft of data, the cases of covid have finally reached the peak in children, which gives hope that herd immunity is taking effect in the youth.
Infections spread among children in England in the wake of classes reopening in early September – with one in 20 secondary school pupils thought to be carrying the virus last week.
But health department data now shows that there has been a decline in the number of positive tests in the last one week among children in the primary and secondary age groups.
Experts told MailOnline that the slowdown could indicate increased immunity from a combination of vaccination and infection in young people.
The vaccine rollout only opened last month to healthy children ages 12 to 15, but has been jabbing to older teens since August.
Data from the country’s largest symptom-tracking app – which is closely watched by ministers – also suggested today that cases in children are peaking. But the infection rate is still very high – around 1.5 per cent of youth aged 10 to 14 have tested positive only in the last week.
However, experts warn that the infection has already begun to spread to the parents, which could eventually trigger a major outbreak this winter.
PHE data shows case rates among children finally peak after explosion at the start of new term
Health department statistics show that infection is still highest among children aged 10 to 14.
During the week ending September 27 after the start of the new term, there were 1,540 positive tests per 100,000 people in that age group.
But it has been falling steadily since then, falling to just 1,461 per 100,000 in the seven-day spell ending October 2 – the most recent day’s figures available for this.
A similar trend is visible in 15- to 19-year-olds, with cases peaking in the same seven-day window (651 per 100,000). Now it is at 635 per 100,000.
And cases for children between the ages of five and nine have been falling for nine consecutive days, reaching 569 per 100,000 on September 23. Some 487 per 100,000 in the cohort are now infected.
School children are largely not vaccinated and are not required to wear masks, although they are regularly tested for the virus.
UK daily Covid cases hit another month high
Daily coronavirus cases in the UK have risen again and the number of patients hospitalized with the virus is on the rise again – but deaths are falling.
The health department recorded 40,701 infections nationwide in the last 24 hours, an increase of nearly 12 per cent from the previous week. This is the first time in a month that cases have risen above 40,000 in a single day.
Another 122 Covid deaths were recorded today, a drop of 11 per cent from last Thursday’s figure. This is the 11th day in a row that there has been a decrease in deaths week after week.
The latest hospital data also shows that there were 681 Covid admissions on October 3, a small increase of 4 per cent over the previous week’s numbers.
The death and hospital numbers are a few weeks behind both cases because of the time it takes for the infection to turn into a serious illness.
As a week of falling cases witnessed yesterday, it is becoming increasingly difficult to predict the trajectory of the pandemic.
Separate data from the country’s largest symptom-tracking study suggested today that the number of Britons who fall ill with Covid every day has risen to the highest level since January.
Meanwhile, cases are rising in people in their 50s with 286 per 100,000 infected.
Professor Paul Hunter, a specialist in medicine at the University of East Anglia, told MailOnline that some of the decline in the 10 to 14-year age group may be due to the introduction of vaccination in the age group.
Children in the age group of 12 to 15 years started falling prey to Kovid from 20 September. But he said this could not explain the change in people aged five to nine.
Professor Sir Terence Stephenson, a specialist in child health at the Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, said MailOnline cases could drop because of increasing immunity levels in young people and parents from vaccines and natural infections.
He said that youth can also follow social distancing and wear face cover inside and outside the school.
‘These figures are good news but don’t change my support for the four CMOs’ [chief medical officers’] Recommendation of giving COVID vaccines to adolescents across the UK’, Professor Stephenson said.
Dr Stephen Griffin, a viral oncologist at the University of Leeds, told MailOnline that he suspects 16 to 18-year-olds have been vaccinated and that children are now back in school, a decline in cases. is behind.
He added: ‘Allowing schools to go back without mitigation is a shameful mistake, and always has been.
‘Everyone wants kids in school to just be as safe for them as we can do for them.
‘Ignoring Covid is a mistake. Current policy continues to ignore those who do not have vaccines, including young children, as well as those who are clinically vulnerable.
‘We need sensible mitigation and a comprehensive vaccination program as a long-term solution to controlling the epidemic.’
This comes after scientists at King’s College London estimated that 66,033 people were getting infected daily for the week ending 2 October, up 13.6 per cent from 58,126 a week earlier.
Cases in children are turning a corner but are still high, with nearly one in 30 schoolchildren being infected with the virus – nearly three times the next highest rate among 35- to 55-year-olds.
Meanwhile, data from the Department of Health today showed that the UK has recorded 40,701 infections over the past 24 years.