- World Bank environmentalists say climate migration ‘hotspots’ will emerge after 2030
- Waves of internal migration will exert pressure on both the sending and receiving areas
- Sub-Saharan Africans will be the hardest hit, representing nearly 40 percent of all climate migrants
- The report does not include information on people migrating to high-income countries, Middle Eastern countries, small island states or new countries.
Without immediate action to combat climate change, 216 million people could be forced to migrate to other parts of their country by 2050.
a new world bank report Modeled the impact of rising sea levels, water scarcity and declining crop productivity on six regions, concluding that climate migration ‘hotspots’ will emerge as early as 2030.
The poorest parts of the world will be most affected, the researchers said: Sub-Saharan Africa alone will be responsible for 86 million internal migrants, with 19 million more in North Africa, the report showed.
South Asia will be home to 40 million internal migrants, and another 49 million will be in East Asia and the Pacific.
Such movements would put significant pressure on both sending and receiving sectors, straining cities and urban centers and jeopardizing development gains, the report said.
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According to the World Bank, more than 200 million people will be forced to relocate to their own countries by 2050 as a result of climate change. Image: Drought at the refugee camp in Bati, on the southwest edge of the Danakil Desert in Ethiopia
For example, sea level rise threatens rice production, aquaculture and fisheries, which could create an out-migration hotspot in Vietnam’s lower Mekong Delta.
But the Red River Delta and the mid-coast region, where those most likely to flee, face their own dangers, including severe storms.
The bank said the situation arising out of conflict and health and economic crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic could aggravate the situation.
And the number of climate migrants could be much higher because the report does not include people who migrate to most high-income countries, Middle Eastern countries, small island states or new countries.
The number of climate migrants may be much higher because the World Bank report does not cover most high-income countries, Middle Eastern countries, small island states, or people migrating to new countries. Pictured: Haitian refugees walk towards the boats that will take them to Colombia
An AI map created by researchers at the University of Southern California shows that some 13 million Americans will be forced to move further inland by climate change by the end of the century.
An AI map developed in 2020 by researchers at the University of Southern California shows that, in the US, about 13 million Americans will be forced to move internally by the end of the 21st century.
Many will move inland from coastal areas to land-locked cities such as Atlanta, Houston, Dallas, Denver and Las Vegas.
Already, climate change is responsible for 37 percent of the planet’s heat deaths each year, according to a study published in May 2021 nature climate change.
This equates to about 9,700 people in 732 cities.
‘These are heat-related deaths that are really preventable. It’s something we do directly,’ Ana Vicedo-Cabrera, an epidemiologist at the Bern Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, told the Associated Press in May.
World Bank chief environmental expert Kanta Kumari Rigaud said the Earth was already locked into a certain amount of global warming and that climate migration was a present reality and not a future problem.
But this is only part of climate’s overall toll on human mortality – more people die from other extreme weather, amplified by global warming, such as hurricanes, floods, wildfires and droughts.
Kanta Kumari Rigaud, the World Bank’s leading environmental expert and co-author of the new report, said the Earth was ‘already locked’ in a certain amount of global warming and that climate migration was a present reality and not a future problem.
“We have to reduce or reduce our greenhouse gases to meet the Paris target, because they are going to have increasing climate impacts and increase the scale of climate migration,” Rigaud said.
According to the new York TimesWithout major changes, about 20 percent of the world will be a ‘barely habitable warm zone’ by 2070.
Rigaud and other authors say their findings should be seen as an urgent wake-up call for regional and national governments to act now to reduce greenhouse gases, reduce development gaps, and restore ecosystems. needed.
Doing so, he said, could reduce that migration number by 80 percent to 44 million people.
French Press: What’s in the Paris Climate Agreement?
The Paris Agreement on Climate Change has four main goals with respect to reducing emissions.
The long-term goal of the Paris Agreement is to keep the increase in global mean temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels.
1) Long-term goal of keeping the increase in global mean temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
2) Aim to limit the increase to 1.5 °C, as this will significantly reduce the risks and effects of climate change
3) Governments agreed on the need to peak global emissions as soon as possible, recognizing that this will take longer for developing countries
4) then sharply cut according to the best available science