Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gambled on an early election to win a majority of seats in parliament but is now in danger of being voted out of power in Canada’s election on Monday.
Polls indicate that Trudeau’s Liberal party is in a tight race with rival Conservatives: it will likely win the most seats in parliament, but still fail to obtain a majority, forcing him to rely on the opposition party to pass legislation. was forced to do.
“Trudeau made an incredibly stupid error of judgment,” said Robert Bothwell, a professor of Canadian history and international relations at the University of Toronto.
Trudeau entered the election, leading a stable minority government that was not in danger of being toppled.
The opposition has been relentless in accusing Trudeau of calling an early vote – two years before the deadline – for his personal ambition. Trudeau channeled the star power of his father, Liberal icon and late Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, when he first won in 2015, but a combination of high expectations, scandal and last month’s election-calling during the pandemic has damaged his brand. Delivered.
Trudeau is betting that Canadians will reward him for navigating the coronavirus crisis better than most countries. Canada is now one of the most vaccinated countries in the world and Trudeau’s government has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to prop up the economy amid the lockdown.
Trudeau argues that the conservative approach, which has been more skeptical about lockdowns and vaccine mandates, would be dangerous and says Canadians need a government that follows science.
Conservative leader Erin O’Toole was not required to vaccinate her party’s candidates and would not say how many are unconvinced. O’Toole describes vaccination as a personal health decision, but a growing number of vaccinated Canadians are increasingly upset by those who refuse to be vaccinated.
Trudeau said at a campaign stop in Windsor, “He is more interested in standing up for the rights of anti-vaxxers within his party than in standing up for people who do the right things and want to return to normalcy.” Huh.” Ontario on Friday.
Trudeau supports making vaccines mandatory for Canadians to travel by air or rail, which conservatives oppose. And Trudeau has pointed out that Alberta, run by a conservative provincial government, is in trouble.
Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, O’Toole’s aide, said the province could be out of beds and staff for intensive care units within days. Kenny has apologized for the dire situation and is now reluctantly offering a vaccine passport and implementing a mandatory work-from-home order two months after nearly all restrictions were lifted.
A Conservative victory would represent a rebuke from Trudeau, who now risks losing office to a politician with a fraction of his name recognition. O’Toole, 47, is a military veteran, former lawyer and Member of Parliament for nine years.
O’Toole advertised himself as a “true-blue conservative” a year ago. He became leader of the Conservative Party with a pledge to “take back Canada”, but immediately began working to push the party towards the political centre.
O’Toole’s new strategy, which involves rejecting positions beloved by his party’s base on issues such as climate change, guns and balanced budgets, to appeal to a wider cross section of voters in such a country Designed that is far more generous. compared to its southern neighbour.
The son of a longtime politician has faced criticism he will say and do anything to get elected.
“I’m not your dad’s Conservative Party,” O’Toole said.
Whether liberal Canadians believe O’Toole is the progressive conservative he claims to be and whether he has alienated traditional conservatives have become central questions of the campaign.
Jenny Byrne, who served as campaign manager and deputy chief of staff to former Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper, said there was a lack of enthusiasm among Conservatives across the country.
“We’ll know Tuesday morning whether the Erin O’Toole version of the Conservative Party is engaging with voters, but if there’s any truth to the election, it’s something that I don’t think we’re connecting with the numbers we’re engaging with.” in the past, including the last election,” Byrne said.
The wild card may be a politician who lost leadership of the Conservative Party in 2017 but who now leads a far-right party opposing vaccines and lockdowns. Polls suggest 5% to 10% support Maxime Bernier and the People’s Party of Canada – potentially bleeding support from O’Toole’s Conservatives and helping the Liberals retain power.
Trudeau’s legacy includes embracing immigration at a time when the US and other countries closed their doors. He legalized cannabis nationwide and brought a carbon tax to fight climate change. And he upheld free trade agreements with the US and Mexico amid threats from former US President Donald Trump to scrap the deal.
Former US President Barack Obama and former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton tweeted in support of Trudeau, perhaps sensing Trudeau’s difficulties.
O’Toole will not have Trump endorsement. Conservative campaign co-chair Walid Soliman said there is no alignment between O’Toole and Trumpism.
But if O’Toole wins, it has promised to take a tough stand against China, including banning Chinese technology giant Huawei from Canada’s next-generation telecommunications network.
O’Toole has also said that as soon as Trump is gone, he will move the Canadian embassy in Israel to Jerusalem…
Credit: www.independent.co.uk / Justin Trudeau