Biden’s social spending spree may unleash bigger inflation wave: JEC Republicans

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Sen. Mike Lee says inflation is ‘destroying Americans’ wages, savings, and aspirations’

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Democrats’ plan to spend trillions of dollars on social programs could expose more inflation at a time when prices are already at their fastest in 30 years, according to a new report from the Joint Economic Committee Republican, seen exclusively by Granthshala Business. The pace is getting faster.

Since the coronavirus pandemic, Congress has authorized $6 trillion in new spending through the US Rescue Plan, the CARES Act and other legislation, while the Federal Reserve has bought $4 trillion in assets to stabilize the economy.

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The stimulus raised income and spending where it would have otherwise, leading to an increase in disposable income as the economy shrank.

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“Inflation is rising at the fastest pace in three decades, and it’s eroding Americans’ wages, savings and aspirations,” said Utah Sen. Mike Lee, Republican and ranking member of the Joint Economic Committee.

“This has made it difficult for families to buy gas and groceries,” he said. “In our research released today, the Joint Economic Committee found that rising prices for everyday goods are being spent by Congress that it doesn’t have. If we don’t stop this rushing train, inflation will get worse. Might be possible.”

Joint Economic Committee is a bipartisan group that studies matters related to the economy and makes recommendations for improving the economy.

The core personal consumption expenditure price index, which excludes food and energy costs and is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, rose 3.6% year over year in August, the highest in 30 years. Prices rose 0.3% for the month.

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Rising prices are partly a result of the pace of reopening of the US economy, which has caused supply chain disruptions as materials and labor are in short supply.

This has led to cost-push inflation, which occurs when businesses are forced to pass along their higher prices to consumers. According to Jackie Benson, senior economist at the Joint Economic Committee Republican, such inflation is likely to be temporary.

He believes the more pressing concern is demand-inflation that could result from government stimulus that shovels cash to consumers and causes demand to swamp supply.

“While increased costs for US producers will ease as global supply chains adjust, demand-driven inflation could rise further if government stimulus continues to boost household income before labor market reforms,” ​​Benson said. Wrote. “Tax increases that further hinder business activity could also make inflation worse.”

President Biden’s proposal build back better The economic agenda would expand the nation’s Social Security by trillions of dollars by providing two years of free community college for all students, plus $3,600 per child per year to eligible families, and expanding Medicare, among other things.

Consumer spending accelerates as Fed’s inflation measure hits 30-year high

A separate $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill has been tabled in the House after progressives said they would vote on the measure until the social spending package is passed.

The social spending bill uses a combination of deficit spending and tax increases to pay for the plan’s $3.5 trillion price tag, which, if permanent, will increase to $5.5 trillion over 10 years.

Legislation is stalled in the US House of Representatives as Democrats attempt to lower the price tag to gain liberal Democratic sense. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kirsten of Arizona are on the cinema board.

Munchkin and Cinema are both required to vote in favor of the plan so that Democrats can use budget reconciliation to block a Republican filibuster and pass the bill by a simple majority.

According to Benson, giving families more cash, through stimulus checks or subsidies, will boost consumer demand at a time when helping pay for programs makes business investment and hiring less likely.

According to the report, rising inflation is not allowed in the event of the law being passed.

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First, rising consumer demand may drive people back into the labor force. However, in an environment of rising COVID-19 cases and when supply-chain disruptions are prevalent, artificially increasing demand is unlikely to happen. The tax hike is also likely to reduce hiring and investment.

Inflation will also be contained if consumers withdraw from spending in the event of a resurgence in COVID cases. However, the prior increase in the number of cases has caused consumers to hold back from spending on services while stocking up on goods. This would result in even more supply chain disruption and more inflation.

It is also likely that the reconciliation bill raises enough jobs to offset the increase in demand through programs such as the so-called Citizens Climate Corps. But that program is expected to provide 20,000 jobs – far fewer than the record 11 million job openings. Additionally, prior studies have shown federal job training program Usually does not live up to the expectations.

Inflation concerns have prepared the Federal Reserve to act.

In September the central bank indicated that it may start reducing its asset purchases before the end of this year and start raising interest rates next year to cope with rising prices.

“Unfortunately, if extraordinary spending levels continue, monetary tapering or even tightening may not have its intended effect,” Benson concluded. “Therefore Congress must consider the inflationary risks of continuing its recent pattern of increasing government spending.”


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